Friday, September 26, 2008

-----------and it is not a bailout

The week plus that was, after my last post, has offered lots of reinforcement for my stated angst. It was not so much the behavior of the markets, which was as anticipated, but the exposure to moronic utterances of those elected officials who we have entrusted with our well being.

Utterances by Mr. Obama and Mr. McCain were no better.

Obama made the case that the economy was the Bush economy and that McCain would be four more years of Bush. First, the mortgage, housing market mess goes back to at least early in the Clinton administration and perhaps well before that. As earlier mentioned, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac were put in place to provide ease for those seeking to buy a house to gain financing. The intent went so far that it threw out sound credit scoring and encouragedthose with little to no hope of keeping up with payments to overbid and to still gain a mortgage. It was not just the low income folks who took advantage of the easy money. It drove the entire housing market with everyone willing to go far out on a limb to move up and keep up or ahead of the Jones’. The inflated prices that the excess credit fueled led to home equity loans on houses with inflated values that fueled still further consumer spending that was then again parlayed with growing credit card debt.


And now the party is over.


As a society and as a nation we have spent far more than we can afford and the way out of the mess, so called bailout or not will be long and painful. All we can hope for now is that it will not be a cataclysmic correction.


Henry Paulson, the Secretary of the Treasury and Ben Bernanke the Chairman of the Federal Reserve Bank have put their health and well being on the line as they struggle seven days a week and in the night time too, as they try to forge a mechanism that will hold the Apocalypse back.


Their recommended program, for the government to take the banks bad debts off their balance sheet , at a fire sale price, makes sense as we face desperation. It may not work but it is the best shot we have. The debt, taken in to the Treasuryat a major markdown from face value. All ofthe paper in question is not totally bad and the government should be able to recoup it’s investment and perhaps more, over the coming years.


It is by no means a bailout. Rather it is an attempt to use the remaining credibility of the United States of America to take one grand additional massive mortgage on the country's future. Senators, in pompous pose and Congressman awash in ignorance have berated and pilloried Paulson and Bernanke in public hearings, shaming themselves and those who voted them into power.


As some have bemoaned the load being put on the taxpayer Paulson has correctly stated that the load is all ready on the taxpayer and that to do nothing will bury the taxpayer. He is right.

Certainly clever greedy types have made a fortune catering to the wants and wishes of the not so clever but greedy citizens. The root cause is the over extension, by the public, and the willingness of the politicians to help the public, their constituents, to do just realize dreams that they cannot afford.


Now, tonight, Obama and McCain will have their first debate. I am not optimistic that much light will be shed on this key subject.


For McCain it is a critical juncture as his running mate Sarah Palin has, in her exposure to interviews by Katie Couric of CBS, failed badly. And his rush to Washington to help out in ending the congressional side show on the credit package came off as posturing with no position.