The following link of an in depth commentary by Robert Kagan, from the August 30 - 31, 2008, Wall Street Journal is very informative whether one agrees with all of it or none or if you sit somewhere in between. Kagan is very well informed and presents concisely.
(http://s.wsj.net/article/SB122005366593885103.html)
It is especially appropriate with Vice President Cheney traveling in the Caucasus and to the various "stans." In Georgia he is announcing a $1 billion dollar contribution for rebuilding after it was thrashed by Russia for attacking and entering the breakaway South Ossetia region.
I will dig into this further at a later date but I do suggest that the graphed data in the article is compelling
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